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| PRECLINICAL STUDY Lymphatic drainage in the muscle and subcutis of the arm after breast cancer treatment Anthony W. B. Stanton Æ Stephanie Modi Æ Thomas M. Bennett Britton Æ Anand D. Purushotham Æ A. Michael Peters Æ J. Rodney Levick Æ Peter S. Mortimer Received: 5 September 2008 / Accepted: 17 November 2008 Springer Science+Business Media, LLC. 2008 Abstract Breast cancer-related lymphoedema of the arm (BCRL) results from impaired lymph drainage after axillary surgery. Little is known about lymphatic changes in the arm between surgery and oedema onset. We measured forearm muscle and subcutis lymph drainage in 36 women at 7 and 30 months after surgery by quantitative lymphoscintigraphy. None had BCRL initially but 19% had BCRL by 30 months. At 7 months muscle and subcutis drainage in both arms of BCRL-destined women exceeded that of non-BCRL women (P\0.01). Muscle lymph drainage always exceeded subcutis drainage (P\0.0001). Muscle lymph drainage in the ipsilateral arm was unimpaired relative to the contralateral arm. BCRL therefore developed in women with higher peripheral lymph flows. The major lymphatic load was generated by muscle; there was no pre- BCRL lymphatic impairment in the muscle of the ipsilateral arm. We propose that some women have a defined, constitutive predisposition to secondary lymphoedema. Specifically, women with higher filtration rates, and therefore higher lymph flows through the axilla that are closer to the maximum sustainable, are at greater risk of BCRL following axillary trauma, even following removal of 1–2 nodes. Keywords Arm Breast cancer Lymphatic Lymphoedema Lymphoscintigraphy Lymph flow Introduction Axillary nodal surgery and radiotherapy for breast cancer interfere with lymph drainage from the ipsilateral arm. In 21–33% of women this results in a swelling of the arm, breast cancer-related lymphoedema (BCRL), after a delay of months to years [1–5]. BCRL is associated with pain, impaired function, psychological morbidity, cellulitis, occasionally skin malignancy, and remains a significant clinical problem. There is a perception that the introduction of breast-conserving surgery, and sentinel lymph node biopsy (SLNB) in particular, has made BCRL a thing of the past but the evidence does not support this. After SLNB alone the incidence is 5–7% [6–8] but the incidence is almost certainly higher in patients in whom more than one axillary node is removed or in whom a double procedure (positive SLNB followed by axillary clearance) is performed. A. W. B. Stanton (&) S. Modi P. S. Mortimer Cardiac & Vascular Sciences (Dermatology), St George’s Hospital Medical School, University of London, Cranmer Terrace, London SW17 0RE, UK e-mail: astanton@sgul.ac.uk T. M. Bennett Britton Cambridge Breast Unit, Addenbrooke’s Hospital, Cambridge CB2 2QQ, UK A. D. Purushotham Hedley Atkins Breast Unit, Academic Oncology, Guy’s and St Thomas’ Trust, London SE1 9RT, UK A. D. Purushotham King’s College London, London WC2R 2LS, UK A. M. Peters Nuclear Medicine, Royal Sussex County Hospital, Brighton BN2 5BE, UK J. R. Levick Basic Medical Sciences (Physiology), St George’s Hospital Medical School, University of London, London SW17 0RE, UK P. S. Mortimer Skin and Rare Cancers, Royal Marsden Hospital, Sutton SM2 5PT, UK 123 Breast Cancer Res Treat DOI 10.1007/s10549-008-0259-z The understanding of the pathophysiology of BCRL was limited by technical difficulties in assessing human lymphatic function. In long-established lymphoedema, radiocontrast lymphangiography demonstrated dilated and tortuous lymphatics, dermal backflow and extravasation of contrast medium [9]. These changes were attributed to axillary obstruction because the epifascial vessels (draining skin and subcutis) run mainly to the axilla, although some also anastomose with a scapular collateral pathway [10], and the subfascial (muscle) vessels drain exclusively to the axilla. The epifascial and subfascial compartments communicate at the wrist and elbow [10, 11]. Most swelling is epifascial, particularly in the highly compliant subcutis [12, 13]. Subfascially, swelling is limited by the tight enveloping fascia, but the volume of fluid presented to the lymphatics each minute may be higher than in the subcutis due to the higher density of filtering capillaries in skeletal muscle. Supporting this view, estimated lymph flow from muscle [14] exceeds that from subcutis [15–17]. Peripheral lymph flow is assessed best by quantitative lymphoscintigraphy (QL) in which the fractional removal rate, k, of an injected radiolabelled macromolecule is measured, representing local lymph drainage rate per unit volume of tissue fluid [18]. In the subcutis of the swollen forearm, local lymph drainage is markedly reduced relative to the contralateral arm [15, 16]. Lymph drainage is also reduced in the forearm muscle, by 31% in arms with 33% swelling [14]. There is a graded relation between reduction in muscle lymph drainage and severity of the swelling, but not between reduction in subcutis lymph drainage and swelling [14–16]. Lymphatic function in muscle and subcutis has not to date been compared in the same patients, and little is known of lymphatic function before overt oedema. Investigation of the hand subcutis 3 months after axillary surgery (with no oedema) showed no local impairment of lymph drainage [19]. Declining muscle lymphatic function may be crucial to the pathogenesis of BCRL, and we considered that muscle lymphatic failure might precede onset of oedema. We therefore measured lymph flow in the forearm muscle and subcutis of women treated recently by axillary surgery, initially without BCRL, and repeated the measurements 2 years later by which time some had developed BCRL. Patients and methods Patients and assessment of arms Forty-three breast cancer patients from St George’s Hospital, London, the Royal Marsden Hospital, Sutton, and Addenbrooke’s Hospital, Cambridge, were assessed 7.3 ± 2.8 months (mean ± SD) after surgery. Seven of the 43 (16%) were found to have signs of (previously undiagnosed) incipient arm oedema (see below) and were therefore excluded, leaving 36 women aged 61 ± 9 years (range: 46–81 years) of body mass index (BMI) 25.9 ± 3.8 kg/m2 without detectable BCRL for this study. All patients had undergone standard axillary nodal surgery (mainly level I ? II); none received axillary radiotherapy. No patient had other serious disease or was on Ca2?- channel blockers or developed cancer recurrence during the study. All were right-handed. The diagnosis of BCRL in the excluded patients and in the patients who later developed BCRL was based on examination for the clinical signs of oedema, rather than arm volume alone [20]. BCRL was considered to be present in the ipsilateral arm if (1) the subcutaneous veins of the ventral forearm and dorsal hand were less visible than on the contralateral side; (2) there was a rounding or fullness in the medial elbow and distal upper arm regions; (3) skin and subcutis thickness was increased; (4) pitting oedema was present. Arm volumes were measured using a Perometer 350S limb volumeter (Pero-System, Wuppertal, Germany) in 26 patients, and a tape-measure (with calculation of arm volume from serial circumferences measured at 4 cm intervals) in the remaining 10 [21]. The eventual 7 BCRL patients had had significantly fewer axillary lymph nodes excised than the 29 non-BCRL patients (8 ± 3 vs. 15 ± 8, P = 0.032, unpaired t test); the BCRL group was 6 years younger than the non-BCRL group (57.1 ± 3.3 vs. 63.2 ± 9.2 years at 7 months post-surgery, P = 0.10), had smaller primary tumours (17 ± 7 vs. 23 ± 10 mm, P = 0.13), and had received a smaller proportion of mastectomies (14 vs. 21%) as opposed to wide local excisions. Every BCRL patient and 21/29 non-BCRL patients received breast/chest wall radiotherapy, which may increase the risk of BCRL [5]. The BMI of the BCRL and the non-BCRL groups was almost identical (P = 0.77). The study was approved by the Research Ethics Committees, conformed to the Declaration of Helsinki, and was approved by the Administration of Radioactive Substances Advisory Committee, UK (ARSAC). The effective radiation dose was *0.04 mSv per patient. All participants gave informed, written consent. Quantitative lymphoscintigraphy and time course of studies QL was performed on the forearm in order to measure k (local lymph flow/volume of distribution of tracer). The radiopharmaceutical was human IgG (TechneScan HIG, DRN 4369; Mallinckrodt, Petten, Netherlands) labelled with 99mTc (99mTc-HIG). Radiochemical purity was 99.1%. The scintillation detectors (Ametek, Wokingham, UK) were calibrated for the pulse energy of 99mTc (137–143 keV). QL Breast Cancer Res Treat 123 and the theory equating k to lymph drainage have been described in detail and reviewed critically [14–18, 22]. The patients underwent 4 bilateral QL studies; study 1 (at 7.3 months post-surgery): k in the subcutis, study 2 (within 7 days of study 1): k in the muscle, studies 3 and 4 (at 30.5 ± 4.0 months): repetition of studies 1 and 2. At 30 months the arms were assessed again for clinical signs of oedema. After 45 min acclimatisation at 23 ± 1C the forearms were supported at heart level and an injection point marked on each ventral forearm at 390 ± 20 mm from the middle fingertip and 60 ± 10 mmlateral to the midline. 99mTc-HIG (0.2 ml, 0.60 ± 0.08 MBq) was injected subcutaneously for studies 1 and 3 or intramuscularly for studies 2 and 4. The scintillation detectors were positioned *1 mm above the skin over each depot. The maximum depot diameter, 31 mm, was\50% of the diameter of the skin area under the detector (65 mm) [15]. Acquisitions (duration 100s) were performed every 15 min for 3 h. During the intervening periods the patient mostly sat but was also allowed to walk short distances. The arms and detectors were carefully repositioned for each acquisition. Calculation of k Counts were corrected for background and radioactive decay, according to N = N0e-ct (N corrected counts, N0 uncorrected counts, c decay constant (0.001923/min), t min since injection). The counts remaining in the depot were then expressed as the fraction of the counts from the first acquisition, and the slope of the loge of the fraction versus time plot (9100) gave the percentage of the depot cleared per minute, k (%/min). The slope was measured from the end of any initial lag phase (28–30% of cases, duration*30 min). Statistical analysis Results are shown as the mean ± standard deviation (SD), with the range for some results, and the standard error of the mean (SEM) in the figures. Groups were compared using Student’s unpaired and paired t tests, Wilcoxon’s matched pairs test for non-Gaussian ratios of subcutis k to muscle k, and 2-way analysis of variance (ANOVA). The slope of the depot clearance plot was obtained by linear regression. Analysis was performed using Prism 4.0 (GraphPad, San Diego, CA). Significance was accepted at P\0.05. Results Compliance, incidence of BCRL and arm volumes Thirty-six women completed studies 1–2, 33 completed studies 1–3 and 32 completed studies 1–4. Arm volumes at 7 months for the whole group were similar on the ipsilateral and contralateral sides (n = 36) (Table 1). Six patients were diagnosed with BCRL at 19 ± 5 months (11–23 months) after surgery. One further patient was found to have previously unrecognised clinical signs of oedema at study 3, giving an overall incidence of BCRL from 7 to 30 months of 19%. Including the rejected incipient cases, the incidence (from 2 months) was 14/43 (32.5%). At 30 months the lymphoedematous arm was 5.8 ± 2.0% bigger than the contralateral arm (n = 7, P = 0.0007, paired t test) (Table 1). The difference in arm volume was due partly to ipsilateral swelling and partly to a 2.2 ± 2.5% fall in contralateral arm volume (P = 0.091) (Table 1). The arms of the patients who did not develop BCRL changed little in volume. Lymph drainage rates 7 months after axillary surgery Three findings emerged from studies 1–2. (1) k in the muscle was consistently greater than in the subcutis of the same arm, exceeding subcutis k in 69/72 arms (P 0.0001, paired t test) (Table 2; Fig. 1, panel a). The ratio muscle k/subcutis k was 2.1 ± 0.9 in the ipsilateral arm and 2.2 ± 1.1 in the contralateral arm (n = 36). The absolute value of muscle k, 0.15%/min (Table 2), showed that *9% of the muscle interstitial fluid is drained by the lymphatics and replaced by capillary ultrafiltrate per h. The entire interstitial fluid volume of muscle thus turns over in *11 h. The turnover time for subcutis (k = 0.077%/min; Table 2) is much slower, *22 h. (2) Lymph drainage in the subcutis and muscle of the ipsilateral arm was the same as in the contralateral arm (n = 36) (Fig. 1, panel b). This indicated that surgery had not in general caused any chronic deterioration of peripheral lymph flow by 7 months. Similarly, in the 7 women destined to develop BCRL, muscle k in the ipsilateral arm (0.171 ± 0.054%/min) was not significantly lower than in the contralateral arm (0.188 ± 0.089%/min, P = 0.72, paired t test), although the 15% lower k in the subcutis of the ipsilateral arm approached statistical significance (P = 0.085) (Table 2). (3) Unexpectedly, the drainage rate constants were higher in both the ipsilateral and contralateral arms of the BCRL-destined patients, with as yet no oedema, than in the non-BCRL subgroup (Fig. 2). The difference was substantial and was seen consistently in both the subcutis and the muscle, and in both the ipsilateral and the contralateral arms (Table 2). Ipsilateral and contralateral muscle k values were, respectively 22 and 29% higher in the BCRL than in non-BCRL subgroup (P = 0.007; P = 0.4 for comparison of arms, 2-way ANOVA). Similarly, ipsilateral and contralateral subcutis k values were 22 and 50% higher Breast Cancer Res Treat 123 in the pre-BCRL patients than in the non-BCRL subgroup (P = 0.002; P = 0.4 for arms). Change in lymph drainage rates in the BCRL subgroup from 7 to 30 months Seven women developed mild ipsilateral BCRL by 30 months. Consistent with previous work [15, 16], subcutis k fell by *18% in the lymphoedematous arm relative to its value at 7 months (Fig. 3, panel a). Contrary to expectation, subcutis k declined also in the contralateral arm of the BCRL patients. As a result the subcutis k was only slightly lower in the lymphoedematous arm than in the opposite arm (P = 0.67 for difference between arms) (Table 2). Two-way ANOVA showed that the fall in k with time was statistically significant (P = 0.020) while the difference between arms was not (P = 0.45). The deterioration in subcutis k (the difference between k at 7 and 30 months) did not correlate with patient age. Muscle k showed no significant difference between the two arms at 30 months (P = 0.75) (Table 2). In contrast with the deterioration in subcutis k over time, muscle k did not fall between 7 and 30 months (Fig. 3, panel b). Instead it tended to increase in both arms, although this did not reach conventional significance (P = 0.11, 2-way ANOVA). The magnitude of the changes in muscle or subcutis k did not correlate significantly with the magnitude of the swelling. Since subcutis k fell while muscle k increased, the subcutis/muscle ratio fell markedly, namely by 34% in the lymphoedematous arm, from 0.57 ± 0.24 at 7 months to 0.35 ± 0.17 at 30 months (P = 0.016, Wilcoxon test) (Fig. 4, left panel). In the contralateral arm the ratio fell by 28%, from 0.68 ± 0.39 at 7 months to 0.39 ± 0.12 at 30 months (P = 0.047). Table 1 Arm volumes (ml) following axillary surgery (mean ± SD) Subgroup (n) 7 months 30 months Ipsilateral Contralateral Pa Ipsilateral Contralateral Pa All cases (36) 1,917 ± 360 1,906 ± 377 0.34 – – – BCRL (7) 1,935 ± 367b 1,893 ± 325 0.081 1,958 ± 347 1,851 ± 320 0.001 Non-BCRLc 1,913 ± 365 1,909 ± 394 0.79 1,895 ± 375 1,899 ± 361 0.81 Lymphoedema was absent at 7 months but had developed in the ipsilateral arms of the BCRL subgroup by 30 months a Ipsilateral versus contralateral arms, paired t test b 2.0% bigger than the contralateral arm (5/7 arms were on the dominant side) c n = 29 at 7 months, n = 26 at 30 months; for the 25 women who completed all 4 studies to 30 months, at 7 months ipsilateral arm volume was 1,915 ± 377 ml and contralateral arm volume was 1,916 ± 409 ml Table 2 Arm lymph drainage rates, represented by the removal rate constant for 99mTc-HIG (k, %/min), at 7 and 30 months post-axillary surgery (mean ± SD, negative sign of k omitted) 7 months 30 months Ipsilateral Contralateral Pa Ipsilateral Contralateral Pa All cases (n = 36) Subcutis 0.077 ± 0.023 0.077 ± 0.028 0.93 – – – Muscle 0.147 ± 0.032 0.154 ± 0.055 0.48 – – – Pb \0.0001 \0.0001 – – – BCRL subgroup (n = 7) Subcutis 0.090 ± 0.026 0.106 ± 0.036 0.085 0.074 ± 0.031 0.078 ± 0.017 0.67 Muscle 0.171 ± 0.054 0.188 ± 0.089 0.72 0.227 ± 0.082 0.215 ± 0.055 0.75 Non-BCRL subgroupc Subcutis 0.074 ± 0.021 0.070 ± 0.021 0.32 0.083 ± 0.030 0.083 ± 0.029 0.91 Muscle 0.141 ± 0.022 0.146 ± 0.041 0.50 0.170 ± 0.044 0.180 ± 0.041 0.18 a Ipsilateral versus contralateral arms b Subcutis versus muscle, paired t tests c n = 29 at 7 months, n = 26 (subcutis) and n = 25 (muscle) at 30 months; for the 25 women who completed all 4 studies to 30 months, at 7 months subcutis k was—ipsilateral: 0.074 ± 0.022%/min, contralateral: 0.072 ± 0.022%/min, and muscle k was—ipsilateral: 0.140 ± 0.023%/min, contralateral: 0.143 ± 0.042%/min Breast Cancer Res Treat 123 Change in lymph drainage rates in the non-BCRL subgroup from 7 to 30 months In the 81% of women spared of BCRL the pattern of change was different from that in the BCRL group, in that k increased in both the subcutis and muscle between 7 months and 30 months (Fig. 3, panel b). Subcutis k increased by 18 ± 38% ipsilaterally and 16 ± 30% contralaterally (n = 26, P = 0.048, 2-way ANOVA). Muscle k likewise increased, by 24 ± 37% ipsilaterally and 36 ± 47% contralaterally (n = 25, P\0.0001). The arms did not differ significantly (P C 0.3). These changes showed no correlation with age. Since k increased in both the subcutis and muscle, their ratio changed little. In the ipsilateral arm the mean ratio was 0.54 ± 18 at 7 months and 0.54 ± 0.26 at 30 months (n = 25, P = 0.78, Wilcoxon test). Contralaterally the ratio was 0.52 ± 0.21 at 7 months and 0.49 ± 0.21 at 30 months (n = 25, P = 0.059) (Fig. 4, right panel). This contrasted markedly with the lymphoedematous arms, in which the subcutis/muscle ratio fell by 28–34% (Fig. 4, left panel). As at 7 months, muscle k in the BCRL group at 30 months exceeded that in the non-BCRL group, by 34% in the ipsilateral arm and 19% in the contralateral arm (n = 7 and 25, P = 0.002 for difference between groups, 2-way ANOVA) (Table 2). Subcutis k in the BCRL group at 30 months no longer exceeded that in the non-BCRL group because it had fallen bilaterally. Discussion This study demonstrates that the traditional view of BCRL as an obstructive lymphoedema caused by axillary surgery is too simplistic. There was no deterioration in muscle or Fig. 1 High muscle lymph flow and unimpaired ipsilateral drainage rates (k) in 36 postoperative patients without BCRL at 7 months postsurgery. a Individual k values from all ipsilateral and contralateral arms, with lines connecting muscle and subcutis k in same arm; muscle k was 2–3 times subcutis k (n = 72 arms, P\0.0001). b Individual k values from the muscle and subcutis of each arm, with the mean and SD (thick and thin horizontal lines, respectively); k in the ipsilateral arm did not differ significantly from k in the contralateral arm in either compartment (P-values, paired t tests) Fig. 2 High fluid turnover rates in patients with latent BCRL at 7 months post-surgery. Lymph drainage rate constants (k, mean ± SEM) in the subcutis and muscle of both arms were higher in the women destined to develop BCRL in *12 months time (pre-BCRL, n = 7) (open columns) than in the women would not develop BCRL (non-BCRL, n = 25–29, P\0.01, 2-way ANOVA) (shaded columns) Breast Cancer Res Treat 123 subcutis lymph flow at 7 months, in either the entire group or the subgroup that progressed to BCRL. There was therefore no support for the hypothesis of muscle lymphatic impairment during the pre-oedema phase. Muscle lymph flow at 7 months was actually higher in both arms of women who progressed to BCRL than in those who did not. Since lymph production is coupled closely to capillary filtration (k reflects lymph production as well as flow), it is likely that the women who progress to BCRL have greater filtration into the arm that overwhelms vulnerable lymphatics. We propose therefore that the first abnormality to develop in the pathogenesis of BCRL is not lymphatic obstruction but high fluid filtration into both arms with subsequent lymphatic failure and the development of oedema. Incidence of BCRL and risk factors The incidence of BCRL following standard axillary nodal surgery (19% at 7–30 months, 32.5% including the incipient cases) is consistent with previous studies [2–5]. The reported frequency of BCRL among women treated for breast cancer varies because of differing definitions of BCRL and differing follow-up periods. In the present study arms were examined using strict clinical criteria for oedema and diagnosis was not based on arbitrary circumference or volume thresholds that may not detect mild cases [20]. Approximately 75% of cases of BCRL develop within 2 years of treatment and 90% within 3 years [23], so most expected cases from the original cohort of 43 were manifest. The BCRL group differed from the non-BCRL group somewhat, in particular the fewer lymph nodes removed, which might have been expected to reduce the risk of BCRL, with statistically weaker differences in age and size of breast tumour. Fig. 3 Changes in lymph removal rate constant (k) from 7 to 30 months post-surgery (mean ± SEM; filled symbols, muscle k; open symbols, subcutis k). a The BCRL group developed ipsilateral lymphoedema by 30 months. The ipsilateral arm showed a fall in subcutis k but not muscle k, with similar changes in the contralateral arm. b Women who did not develop BCRL (non-BCRL group) showed a bilateral rise in subcutis and muscle k, similar to the bilateral increase in muscle k in the BCRL patients. The distinguishing feature of the BCRL group was thus a bilateral fall in subcutis k Fig. 4 Ratio of lymph removal rate constant in subcutis to that in muscle (ksubcutis/kmuscle, mean ± SEM) for the ipsilateral and contralateral arms of women who develop BCRL (left panel, filled symbols) and for those who do not develop BCRL (right panel, open symbols) at 7 and 30 months post-surgery. ksubcutis/kmuscle decreased in both arms of the BCRL group from 7 to 30 months (n = 7, P\0.05, Wilcoxon test) whereas changes in the non-BCRL group were small. Logarithmic ordinate to normalise ratio distribution Breast Cancer Res Treat 123 Muscle versus subcutis fluid turnover Muscle k was consistently*2–3 times higher than subcutis k in the same arm, in agreement with earlier indications from separate patient groups [14, 15]. This indicates that interstitial fluid drainage into the microlymphatic system is 2–3 times faster in muscle than subcutis. Since the rate of lymph and interstitial fluid formation is closely coupled to capillary filtration rate in the steady state [24, 25], the findings indicate a faster generation of interstitial fluid by capillary filtration in muscle. While differences in the Starling forces may contribute to this, the most obvious explanation is that the numerical density of blood capillaries in skeletal muscle (300–1,000/mm2) is *3 times that in adipose subcutis [26–28]. The difference in k and the greater mass of muscle indicates that the subfascial compartment generates most of the lymphatic ‘load’ (volume per unit time) reaching the axilla. High-filtering patients susceptible to lymphoedema At 7 months the peripheral lymph flow in the muscle and subcutis of both arms was significantly higher in the pre- BCRL women than the non-BCRL women (Fig. 2). Muscle lymph flow was likewise higher in the BCRL women than controls at 30 months (Table 2). The coupling of lymph flow and capillary filtration rate (Jv) leads us to infer the existence of a subgroup of ‘high-filtering’ breast cancer patients at increased risk of BCRL. There are two possible mechanisms whereby a higher lymph load might contribute to the onset of lymphoedema. First, lymph transport by lymphatic trunk vessels involves an active contractile process and is subject to overload failure [24, 29]. The high volume load discovered here may therefore be a factor leading to eventual chronic failure. Second, if lymphatic contractility decreases for any reason, the consequences for tissue fluid balance will be worst in individuals that present the greatest volume of lymph for transport. Direct evidence for a constitutively raised Jv in BCRL is lacking, but earlier QL findings from hand subcutis in BCRL patients with and without hand swelling are compatible with this. In women with swelling involving the hand, lymph flow in the contralateral, unaffected hand was higher than in the swollen hand and higher than in either hand of women without hand involvement [17]. This is compatible with a constitutive higher filtration state in more severely affected patients. Furthermore, the contralateral dermal microlymphatics of BCRL patients are wider than in non-BCRL breast cancer patients, pointing again to a constitutive difference [30]. Jv has been measured for the whole forearm (skin, subcutis and muscle) by venous occlusion plethysmography and was similar in the swollen and contralateral arms in long-established BCRL [31]; Jv has not been measured in the latent phase in pre-BCRL patients relative to non-BCRL patients. What factor(s) might raise Jv? Decreased tone of resistance vessels would increase capillary pressure and hence Jv, but no impairment of sympathetic vasoconstrictor or vasodilator control was detected in BCRL [32]. Angiogenesis could raise blood flow, capillary surface area and filtration rate, but there has been no comparison of these parameters between latent pre-BCRL patients and non- BCRL patients. The total number of capillaries increases in the expanded skin of the lymphoedematous arm, which would increase fluid turnover [33, 34]. A working hypothesis The new results, combined with those from studies at 92–97 months post-surgery [14, 15], provide a novel, reasonably complete natural history of BCRL (Fig. 5). Both arms of the BCRL patients evinced a fall in subcutis k in association with mild, early lymphoedema. Since k deteriorated bilaterally, it appears to be constitutive in nature, or possibly a systemic effect of cancer treatment. The absence of deterioration in muscle k at this time may be due to early, mild nature of the lymphoedema (muscle k is markedly depressed in long-standing BCRL), and the rise in muscle k contralaterally (Fig. 5) may be the result of improvement in health and physical exercise. Previous QL studies investigating more severe BCRL (25–34% swelling) showed that both subcutis and muscle k eventually become markedly impaired in the swollen arm relative to the contralateral arm, the deterioration being greater in muscle [14, 15] (Fig. 5). This appears to offer a rational explanation for the severe oedema. Early, mild swelling was associated with a bilateral fall in subcutis k, while the more severe, late swelling was associated with a large fall in muscle k. The lower k values in severe swelling indicate a relative stagnation of the interstitial fluid, its turnover time rising to 18 h in muscle (cf. 11 h at 7 months) and 24 h in subcutis. In the present, mild cases, where there was no clear difference in k between the two arms, the oedema may have formed on the treated side due to upstream pump failure between 7 and 30 months, and a constitutive, bilateral fall in fluid turnover may have obscured a small difference between arms. We propose the following working hypothesis. The primary surgical injury to the lymph nodes increases the resistance to lymph flow in all women [35]. In high-filtering women with a high lymphatic load, the chronically raised afterload eventually impairs lymphatic smooth muscle contractility [29]. Just as in heart failure, the ‘backward failure’ of the lymphatic pump raises the lymphatic filling pressure, i.e. interstitial fluid pressure [36, 37]. This can Breast Cancer Res Treat 123 help to preserve lymph flow and reduce capillary filtration rate to match the reduced lymph flow [24]. In this way a steady state is reached at an increased limb volume, increased interstitial pressure, and a relatively modest fall in lymph flow. Conclusion The finding of high lymph flows in the muscle and subcutis of both arms of pre-BCRL women leads to the novel hypothesis that patients with constitutively elevated peripheral lymph flows, and by implication capillary filtration rates, form a subgroup predisposed to BCRL after surgery. This could explain why BCRL can develop in women who have had relatively few lymph nodes removed, and raises the possibility of predictive testing for BCRL susceptibility. Support for this hypothesis would come from a prospective study of breast cancer patients from before surgery until such time as BCRL might develop. Acknowledgments We thank the patients, Mr G. Querci della Rovere (Royal Marsden Hospital, Sutton), Mr A.K. Sharma (St George’s Hospital, London) for access to the patients; Dr R. Allan (St George’s Hospital) for holding the ARSAC certificate; A. Irwin (St George’s Hospital) for physics support; and J. Ballinger (Guy’s Hospital, London) and M. Wilkinson (St George’s Hospital) for radiopharmacy support. Grant support: We thank the Wellcome Trust (grant number 063025 awarded to P.S. Mortimer) and the Frances and Augustus Newman Foundation (equipment grant). References 1. Halsted WS (1921) The swelling of the arm after operations for cancer of the breast—elephantiasis chirurgica—its cause and prevention. Bull Johns Hopkins Hosp 32:309–313 2. Clark B, Sitzia J, Harlow W (2005) Incidence and risk of arm oedema following treatment for breast cancer: a three-year follow-up study. Q J Med 98:343–348 3. Paskett ED, Naughton MJ, McCoy TP et al (2007) The epidemiology of arm and hand swelling in premenopausal breast cancer survivors. Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev 16:775– 782. doi:10.1158/1055-9965.EPI-06-0168 4. 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